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A certain prediction: About global RAN investment in 2030

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Author : JIUZHOU
Update time : 2023-11-24 14:22:28
Although the current market uncertainty and doubts about the prospects of telecommunications and RAN have increased. Although new business models and competitors will continue to emerge. One research firm still predicts that by the end of this decade. Operators are set to be at the forefront of delivering connectivity.

The financial dynamics that have molded the Radio Access Network market for the past three decades are anticipated to impact risk tolerance and RAN investment for the remaining part of the decade. Although the current market uncertainty and doubts about the prospects of telecommunications and RAN have increased. However, a research firm's long-term view of this market remains unchanged.


fixed wireless access

The research firm believes so. The tangible and intangible assets that an operator has accumulated over the past few decades. Critical to meeting the ever-changing connectivity needs of consumers and businesses.

Although new business models and competitors will continue to emerge. The research firm still expects to reach the end of this decade. Providers will take the forefront in supplying connectivity.

Simultaneously, the expansion potential for RAN continues to be demanding. Service providers can boost capital investment in the short run to facilitate the roll-out of emerging technologies. However, this surge is frequently transient.

As time goes by, the growth trend of RAN will slow down. Ultimately limited by operator revenue trends. Potential advantages of emerging opportunities such as Fixed Wireless Access and Private Wireless. It will play a key role in making up for the tepid development of Mobile Broadband.

After growing at a compound annual growth rate of 2% in the 4G era. From 2020 to 2030. Experts expect global RAN revenue to grow at a CAGR of 1%.

The research firm predicts that RAN revenue will reach its highest point in 2021, then decrease before picking up again later.

Other highlights from the research firm’s RAN 2030 forecast, released in November 2023, include:
We expect global RAN cumulative revenue to exceed US$400 billion from 2020 to 2030.
Marco RAN installations will prevail in the initial 6G surge.
Cloud RAN is expected to take on a leading role starting from 6G.
By 2030, Small Cell is expected to account for about 15% of the RAN market.
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